YouTube Politics - YouTube 9 PM Eastern Time. Preliminary thoughts? I think the winner tonight will win the election. The only state that matters right now is Ohio. I don't think either candidate can win enough votes without Ohio, and it's edged Obama right now, with Romney slowly gaining. If Romney wins, I don't think Obama will be able to stop the momentum. If Obama wins, I think he holds on. Most important debate since Kennedy/Nixon? Hopefully no cupcake questions from the town hall audience like there usually is.